Daily Peace and Crisis Report

Compiled Monday, June 15, 2026

Summary

See below for detail and source

Middle East

Gaza Strip

The Gaza Health Ministry announced on Sunday 14 June that the cumulative Palestinian death toll since 7 October 2023 has surpassed 73,000, with the total standing at 73,001 killed and over 173,200 wounded. Reuters; Al-Ahram. Israeli strikes and gunfire killed at least six Palestinians on Sunday alone, including four people near Al-Yeman Al-Saeed Hospital in the Jabalia refugee camp in northern Gaza, and two others in Khan Younis and Gaza City. Reuters. Since the October 2025 ceasefire took effect, Israeli forces have killed nearly 1,000 Palestinians and injured more than 3,100 others. Al-Ahram.

On Sunday, Hamas announced it had delivered a unified Palestinian response to the 15-point roadmap for implementing Phase 2 of President Trump's Gaza peace plan. The response, reached after extensive consultations among Palestinian factions and mediators (Egypt, Qatar, and Türkiye) in Cairo, agreed to 14 of the 15 items. The remaining disagreement concerns Hamas's disarmament: Hamas insists it will not lay down its weapons before a full Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and the launch of a political track toward a Palestinian state. Israel insists Hamas must disarm and cede power in Gaza. Al-Ahram; Reuters.

Israel has continued to expand its military footprint inside Gaza beyond the agreed "Yellow Line," with its forces now occupying an estimated 60–64 per cent of the strip, compared with the agreed 53 per cent. The UN Secretary-General warned on 10 June that Gaza still faces "profound uncertainty and immense human suffering," with the Israeli government declaring its intent to control 70 per cent of the strip. OCHA oPt. A humanitarian aid convoy entered Gaza through the Rafah crossing on 14 June, according to Egyptian state media.

West Bank

Settler violence and Israeli military operations continued across the West Bank on 14 June. Israeli settlers, under military protection, stormed at least two towns in the Ramallah district, setting fire to Palestinian vehicles and a mosque. Israeli forces also conducted a raid on a vegetable market in Nablus. OCHA oPt. A Palestinian man was shot in the neck by an Israeli sniper while aiding a wounded man in Beita, north of Nablus, according to footage reviewed by Palestinian media.

OCHA's situation report of 12 June documented that since the beginning of 2026, more than 1,000 settler attacks have caused casualties or property damage across more than 230 communities, averaging six incidents per day. At least 887 Palestinians have been killed in the West Bank by Israeli troops and settlers since 7 October 2023, including over 230 children. OCHA oPt. The Palestinian Ministry of Health warned that more than one-third of essential medicines are out of stock, with over 11,000 surgeries postponed since the beginning of 2026. OCHA oPt.

Lebanon

Israel struck Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahiyeh) on Sunday in what the Israeli military described as a precision strike targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, following three Hezbollah drone attacks on northern Israel that caused no casualties. The strikes killed at least three people and injured others, according to Lebanese health officials. Arab News; Reuters. The Israeli military also issued evacuation warnings to 29 towns and villages in the districts of Nabatieh and Sidon in southern Lebanon.

The strikes on Beirut occurred at a sensitive diplomatic moment, with the United States and Iran on the verge of signing a peace deal. Iran's top negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said the Dahiyeh attack showed the US "either lacks the will to fulfil its commitments or the ability to do so." President Trump called on "all sides to stand down" and urged Israel not to strike Lebanon while a deal with Iran was "so close." Al Jazeera. Thousands of people have been displaced in Lebanon in recent days as violence has escalated.

Iran–US Diplomatic Situation

The United States and Iran have reached a peace deal to end their war, with a formal signing ceremony set for Friday in Switzerland, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif announced on social media early on Monday. Reuters. The agreement includes a 60-day ceasefire and provisions relating to the Strait of Hormuz. The two sides had differed on the timing of the signing, with Trump saying it would be signed on Sunday and Iran urging caution. Sunday's Israeli strikes on Beirut injected uncertainty into the process, as Iran had demanded Israel halt attacks on Lebanon as a condition of the deal. Al Jazeera.

Eastern Europe

Russia–Ukraine Conflict

Russian forces launched 118 drones against Ukraine overnight on 13–14 June, while Ukrainian forces struck energy and military infrastructure in Russia, including an oil facility in the Oryol region where one person was killed and nine injured. ISW; Taipei Times. UK forces boarded and detained a tanker in the English Channel suspected of helping Russia evade international sanctions; Ukrainian President Zelensky thanked the UK for the action. The Guardian.

The UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine (HRMMU) reported on 12 June that May 2026 was the deadliest month for Ukrainian civilians since April 2022, with at least 274 civilians killed and 1,763 injured — a 93 per cent increase year-on-year. The HRMMU attributed the high toll primarily to Russia's use of missiles, aerial bombs, and glide bombs against urban areas far from the frontline. On 14 May, a missile struck an apartment building in Kyiv, killing 24 civilians. On 5 May, aerial bombs on an industrial area in Zaporizhzhia killed 12 civilians and injured 42. Short-range drone strikes were the primary cause of casualties near the frontline, killing at least 64 civilians and injuring 539 in May alone. OHCHR.

The OHCHR also noted that on the night of 21–22 May, 21 civilians were killed and others injured when weapons struck an educational complex in Russian-occupied Starobilsk, Luhansk region. The Russian government attributed the strike to Ukraine; Ukraine has not confirmed responsibility. OHCHR. Russian state media claimed the strike was a deliberate Ukrainian attack on a civilian dormitory. RT (Rus).

Russia's military spending reached 5.9 trillion rubles (approximately US$81.4 billion), or 46 per cent of total budget spending, in the first quarter of 2026 — 30 per cent higher than the same period in 2025 — even as revenues declined, according to analysis by the German Institute for International and Security Affairs. Putin also signed a decree on 12 June increasing the authorised strength of the Russian Armed Forces to 2,399,130 total personnel. ISW.

On the diplomatic front, the European Union formally opened accession talks with Ukraine and Moldova after Hungary's new government withdrew its longstanding veto, paving the way for negotiations. Both countries view EU membership as a key security guarantee against Russian aggression. Al Jazeera. Russia Matters analysis notes that in the four weeks to 9 June, Russian forces endured a net loss of 1 square mile of Ukrainian territory according to DeepState OSINT data, while ISW's analysis of the same period shows Russia lost a net of 91 square miles. Putin stated on 12 June: "We are making progress; perhaps not as quickly as we would like, but we are moving forward every day." Russia Matters.

Africa

Sudan

Rapid Support Forces (RSF) drones struck El Obeid, the capital of North Kordofan state, for a fifth consecutive day on 14 June, destroying fuel stations and expanding attacks to White Nile state. The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) attributed the strikes to the RSF. The UN reported that drone strikes in Kordofan killed at least six civilians and injured others, even as humanitarian convoys reached thousands of cut-off people in the region. UN News. The IFRC reported that drone strikes around Tiné attributed to the RSF had intensified since early May 2026, affecting Red Crescent operations.

The Sudan conflict, now in its fourth year since fighting erupted in April 2023, has killed an estimated 270,000–400,000 civilians according to various sources, and displaced approximately 14 million people, making it the world's largest humanitarian crisis by number of people requiring assistance. Human rights organisations have accused the UAE of supporting the RSF, and Ethiopia of allowing RSF attack drones to be launched from western Ethiopia. Global Peace Index 2026. A number of high-profile RSF defections to the SAF were also reported this week.

Democratic Republic of Congo — Ebola Outbreak

The WHO-confirmed Ebola outbreak caused by the Bundibugyo virus in the DRC's Ituri Province reached 550 confirmed cases and 101 deaths as of 8 June 2026, with the outbreak also spreading to Uganda (19 confirmed cases, 2 deaths). Ituri Province, which hosts over 900,000 internally displaced persons, accounts for 94 per cent of confirmed DRC cases. WHO has deployed over 100 personnel and 40 tonnes of equipment and medical supplies. The Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention and WHO launched a six-month joint continental response plan, requesting US$518 million from the international community. UN Geneva Press Briefing.

Asia

Myanmar

Myanmar's civil conflict continues with shifting dynamics on the ground. Reports from 14 June indicate that resistance forces are facing increasing pressure in multiple areas as the junta's military, bolstered by forced conscription under a universal two-year service law, advances into strategic territories. Rebels face shortages of weapons and equipment, making the conflict increasingly difficult for anti-junta forces in some areas. Wars in the World. However, the broader conflict remains fragmented, with resistance forces retaining control in significant parts of Sagaing, Shan, and border regions.

Myanmar detained American businessman and author Adam Castillo, a former president of the American Chamber of Commerce in Myanmar, on 12 June as he returned to the country from a book tour. Castillo authored a memoir about the 2021 military coup. A Yangon court remanded him in custody for two weeks on a breach of trust charge brought by the current director of a business organisation he once headed. The US State Department had not responded to requests for comment as of 14 June. Mizzima (Myanmar opposition).

Myanmar's junta-run elections earlier in 2026, which excluded Aung San Suu Kyi's party and returned a walkover win for pro-military parliamentarians, resulted in coup leader Min Aung Hlaing being voted in as civilian president. Democracy watchdogs have dismissed the transition as a civilian rebranding of military rule. GeoBit's security assessment ranks Myanmar as the seventh-highest-threat country globally, with Yangon, Shan State, and Sagaing Region carrying the highest composite risk scores.

Statistics

Table 1 — Casualties (Killed / Wounded)

* OHCHR access is denied to Russian-occupied areas of Ukraine; figures for civilians in occupied territory cannot be independently verified. The vast majority (96%) of verified civilian casualties occur in Government-controlled areas.

Table 2 — Numbers (non-casualty figures)